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Might 5, 2024 — 5 to go, however what do we all know?


Right this moment, beginning at 10 a.m., the final 5 NCAA Division I convention tournaments get underway to fill out which 15 ladies’s lacrosse groups are going robotically to The Huge Dance.

The ten groups profitable their AQ bids are as follows:

ACC — Boston School
AAC — James Madison
ASun — Coastal Carolina
Huge East — Denver
Huge Ten — Northwestern
Colonial — Stony Brook
Mid-American — Robert Morris
Northeast — Lengthy Island
Pac-12 — Stanford
Patriot — Loyola

Right this moment, these 5 convention tournaments finals will happen. And right here’s what we predict will occur:

America East — Just one group, Binghamton or Albany, will make it
Atlantic 10 — Just one group, Richmond or Massachusetts, will make it
Huge South — Just one group, Mercer or Excessive Level, will make it
Mid-American — Just one group, Fairfield or Niagara, will make it
Ivy — Each Penn and Yale will make it, and the winner might very properly be a internet hosting group within the first and second rounds subsequent weekend

This leaves the query of the 14 At-Giant groups. For those who go straight chalk from the Scores Share Index rankings as calculated after final evening’s video games (due to Lacrosse Reference), you see a really attention-grabbing scenario brewing simply exterior the High 20 (the place we predict the bubble is):

These 4 groups, rated from No. 20 to 23 in RPI, are inside 12/a thousandth of some extent of one another within the formulation that’s decided by a group’s won-loss file, the information of their opponents, and the information of their opponents’ opponents. None of those 4 groups are taking part in right now, so I don’t suppose there can be a lot motion.

Bear in mind: there are 29 groups within the event, and 7 of the AQs are, or can be, rated decrease than twenty third in RPI rankings. If the event committee weighs RPI greater than the opposite components they typically use, similar to important wins/losses, file towards the RPI High 10, and the way a group has completed in its final six video games, I believe one or possibly two of those 4 sides received’t make it in.

Ought to make for attention-grabbing doings this night on the Choice Present.

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