Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
14:10 Goodwood – Darkness
14:20 Punchestown – Railway Hurricane
15:42 Perth – Duffle Coat
15:.55 Goodwood – Sea Simply In Time
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
Racingbreaks Ryder was the actual eye-catcher final trip right here. After initially getting tapped for toe because the race hotted up three furlongs out he stayed on actually strongly underneath William Buick to complete a by no means nearer 4 and a half lengths fourth behind Wild Tiger. Nevertheless, there was a little bit of ease within the floor that day, and with a dry forecast over the weekend, it wouldn’t shock me if Charlie Hills have been to take him out if the phrase ‘agency’ seems within the going description.
So with the bottom set to be on the quick aspect of fine, I’m actually eager on the prospect of David O’Meara’s cost, DARKNESS, so long as Daniel Tudhope doesn’t journey him too prominently. It didn’t appear to go well with him final trip at Epsom and should you have a look at his career-best runs within the final two campaigns he has all the time produced the products when getting a lead.
Sure, he could be fairly headstrong within the early phases of a contest, however with two or three of his rivals set to be within the van from the beginning I’m hoping that Danny can get him lined up and get into a pleasant rhythm early on. From a handicapping perspective, he’s nicely weighted as nicely having final received off a mark of 91 and now all the way down to 85.
I assumed that this 2m 4f handicap chase was nearly probably the most troublesome race to dissect, however due to this fact qualifies properly for this ‘worth’ column. High weight Mars Harper got here underneath critical consideration having been tried in fairly esteemed firm up to now six months and with Carl Millar taking a large 7lbs off his again the bay gelding seems very properly weighted off a ranking of 131 if match to do himself justice.
The eight-year-old may nicely be value a saver right here, whereas course and distance winner Hereditary Rule is fascinating having plummeted down the handicap, however his leaping on his final two begins right here has been nothing wanting appalling so the nod goes to the Gavin Cromwell’s cost, RAILYWAY HURRICANE.
A strike document of just one win from 28 begins over fences hardly evokes confidence, however he has been positioned on at least 11 events and eventually confirmed a bit extra zest on his return from an 111-day break when fifth of 12 at Kilbeggan final trip.
Set to race off a 5lbs decrease mark right here, a repeat of his second behind the helpful Idalko Bihoue at Cheltenham within the autumn could be readily adequate to see him flip over this lot for his in-form and astute handler.
This function Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chase has a stunning betting form to it if all eight acceptors stand their floor. In 2023, Karl Phillipe took on the perfect handicap chasers within the land ending seventh to Il Ridoto in a Grade Three handicap chase at Cheltenham over 2m 4f, following it up with the same putting behind Corach Rambler within the Ultima Handicap Chase on the Pageant the place he was by no means going to get residence on the prevailing gentle floor.
These two runs got here off marks within the low 140’s, however he wanted to go all the way down to 132 on good floor to return to successful type final trip underneath now-regular rider Jack Hogan. That regarded like a average race in comparison with this one, however underneath his best circumstances and with a 5lbs penalty to take care of he seems an apparent participant.
With prime weight Grasp in There arguably higher over 2m 4f, the worth is with the Gordon Elliot runner, DUFFLE COAT, who had been knocking on the door previous to a clear-cut success at Ballinrobe final trip.
Being 12lbs larger on these shores is a slight concern, however now that he has obtained his leaping collectively the one manner is up and his stamina will probably be a large asset towards a number of uncertain stayers.
There are some fantastically bred and thrilling fillies set to line up on this Listed race and it could be an occasion value following by the second half of the season. Beeley will certainly get some black kind when she learns to settle, whereas the Dubawi filly, Nakheel nonetheless regarded inexperienced when successful her maiden at Ascot on Could tenth and there needs to be masses extra to come back from her as her stamina comes extra into play.
Nevertheless, I used to be at Newmarket when the SEA JUST IN TIME made her profession debut and I couldn’t have been extra impressed together with her, each within the parade ring and within the race correct.
Held up in rear off a good tempo, however no extra, she was allowed to collect her stride by Tom Marquand going into the dip, and little by little he set free an increasing number of rein till lengthening her stride and pulling nicely clear up the ultimate climb.
As she got here again in she was noticeably blowing fairly laborious so it’s honest to say that the run ought to have introduced her ahead considerably. I’ve truly gone out on a limb and backed her at an enormous worth for the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe in October (she can also be entered within the Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot and Irish Oaks), and he or she may make her mark on the very highest desk in time. An thrilling prospect.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Ideas
14:10 Goodwood – Darkness
14:20 Punchestown – Railway Hurricane
15:42 Perth – Duffle Coat
15:.55 Goodwood – Sea Simply In Time
*All costs are bang updated with our snazzy widgets, whereas odds in copy are correct at time of publishing however topic to alter.
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