Italian Open 2024: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko; Preview, Head-to-Head, and Prediction

Everybody is aware of a wounded tiger is a harmful beast! Followers have witnessed Aryna Sabalenka giving all of it on the courts when she confronted Elina Svitolina within the R16 of the 2024 Italian Open. Though she received the match by 4-6,6-1,7-6(7) in a late-night thriller, there’s a slight concern about her health ranges forward of the mega QF conflict in opposition to Jelena Ostapenko. 

There was a regarding medical timeout taken by Aryna Sabalenka throughout her match in opposition to the Latvian. Simply after successful the second set, physios have been seen working in direction of and giving her remedy for a decrease again and hip problem. It’ll be fascinating to see if she turns as much as the courtroom totally match in opposition to her High 10 opponent on Wednesday (Might 15). Jelena Ostapenko can be coming into into this intriguing contest after a gruelling three-set thriller in opposition to Slovak tennis participant, Rebecca Sramkova. Will fatigue play a vital position in deciding the winner of this match?

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko: Preview

Aryna Sabalenka had a dream begin to her season this 12 months. She reached the finals of the Brisbane Worldwide after which went on to efficiently defend her title on the 2024 Australian Open. After that, the efficiency graph dropped down a little bit bit, however she rapidly gathered her kind forward of the clay courtroom swing. She reached one QF and one Last in the remainder of her tournaments forward of the Italian Open. Within the Italian Open, she has but to showcase her dominating presence in opposition to her opponents.

It took her three units twice to determine the winner in her earlier three matches in Rome. Within the final match, she hit simply three aces and dedicated just one double fault in opposition to Svitolina. Her first serve win share was 58%, nevertheless it dropped to 50% on her second serve. Nonetheless, she efficiently managed to transform six of seven breakpoints in that match. Aryna Sabalenka loves serving massive! Reflecting a bit on her numbers from this season, she has fired in 137 aces and dedicated 87 double faults. Sabalenka has received 78.7% of her service video games and 36.5% of her return video games to this point.

Can Jelena Ostapenko outclass the mighty Belarusian in her subsequent match? Even, Ostapenko was compelled to play three setters twice in her earlier three matches. In her final match, she defeated Sramkova by 4-6,6-4,7-6(3). The Latvian tennis star managed to hit seven aces and dedicated six double faults within the complete match. Her first serve win share was simply round 58% whereas on the second serve, it was 55%. She transformed six out of her twelve breakpoints in opposition to Sramkova.

her numbers from this season, the quantity ten has hit 107 aces and dedicated fairly a couple of double faults (126) this season. She has received 71.4% of her service video games in comparison with simply 36.4% of her return video games. She absolutely has to carry management in her serves to present herself an opportunity in opposition to the world quantity two.

Sabalenka vs Ostapenko: Head-to-Head

Speaking about probabilities, effectively Ostapenko did get the prospect to satisfy Sabalenka twice in her profession. However sadly for the Latvian, she needed to face defeat on each events. Their first assembly was at Zhengzhou in 2019 the place Aryna Sabalenka defeated her by 6-1,6-2. Nonetheless, within the subsequent assembly on the Dubai Tennis Championships, it took three units for the Belarusian to seal the deal in opposition to Ostapenko.

Sabalenka defeated her 2-6,6-1,6-1 and in that match, she hit 5 aces and dedicated two double faults. Whereas, Ostapenko hit 4 aces and but once more she dedicated fairly a couple of double faults (7). Aryna Sabalenka’s first serve win share was 68% and her second serve win share in that match was 57%. But it surely was simply 57% and 40% respectively for Jelena Ostapenko. However the Latvian managed to transform three out of her 4 breakpoints efficiently in that match. Whereas, the Belarusian might solely handle to transform six of her 13 breakpoints.

Prediction: Sabalenka goes to win this thrilling contest

However there may be one situation! If she’s totally match, she will be able to absolutely overcome this Latvian hurdle simply however if not, then Jelena Ostapenko is kind of able to upsetting the Belarusian tennis star. With the French Open knocking on the door, it’ll be fascinating to see if Sabalenka takes any precautionary measures forward of this conflict. Aryna Sabalenka reached the SF of the Italian Open in 2022, whereas Jelena Ostapenko achieved the identical a 12 months later. Ostapenko has a win-loss file of 19-8 this season, whereas Sabalenka is on 20-6.

On this battle, there will likely be no scarcity of aggression. Aryna Sabalenka is a baseliner with a strong and aggressive fashion of play. She likes to depend on her highly effective serves and her thunderous groundstrokes. Nonetheless, placing a verify on her double faults can even be a key to her success on this match. Ostapenko can be an aggressive baseliner. Her strongest weapon is her backhand, however she will be able to hit a number of forehand winners as effectively. But when we discuss in regards to the winner of this matchup. Properly, if Sabalenka is totally match, she’s absolutely going to win this match.